# Germany Weighs a Return to the Draft as Its Volunteer Push Falls Short

> A new voluntary service model was meant to rebuild the Bundeswehr, but only a few hundred recruits have signed up this year. Now Berlin faces a decision it hoped to avoid, whether to make military service mandatory again for the first time since 2011.

- Source: Berlin Today
- Canonical URL: https://berlintoday.eu/article/germany-weighs-a-return-to-the-draft-as-its-volunteer-push-falls-short
- Author: Doug Brown
- Section: Politics
- Published: 2026-07-30T13:27:00.604Z
- Updated: 2026-07-30T13:27:00.604Z
- Tags: Germany, conscription, Bundeswehr, military service, defence, Friedrich Merz, NATO, Wehrpflicht

---

Germany is edging toward a choice it has put off for more than a decade. Having built its plan to rebuild the armed forces around persuasion rather than compulsion, the government is now confronting evidence that persuasion alone is not filling the ranks. The question hanging over Berlin is blunt. If young Germans will not volunteer in the numbers the military needs, will the state order them to serve.

The pressure flows from a simple gap between ambition and reality. The country wants a far larger force, yet the voluntary route introduced this year has drawn only a trickle of recruits. That mismatch is what has pushed the once unthinkable idea of a return to conscription back into mainstream political debate.

## A voluntary model that is not delivering

At the start of 2026 a new Military Service Modernisation Act took effect, reshaping how Germany tries to bring people into uniform. The centrepiece was a voluntary scheme designed to make service more attractive, and the government hoped it would reverse years of shrinking numbers. So far the results have been meagre, with only around 500 recruits signing on through the new drive.

That figure sits far below what the plan requires. Berlin wants to lift its active-duty strength toward 260,000 personnel, an increase of roughly 80,000, and to build a reserve of about 200,000 on top of that. Set against those targets, a few hundred volunteers looks less like a slow start and more like a warning that the model may not work without a harder edge.

## The letters landing on doorsteps

The state has not been idle while it waits for volunteers. Since January it has sent more than 300,000 letters to eighteen year olds, sounding out their willingness to serve along with their physical fitness and education. The exercise doubles as a census of who could be called up if the voluntary approach is judged to have failed.

There is a pointed asymmetry built into the process. Under the current rules only young men are legally obliged to reply to the questionnaire. Young women receive the same letters, but for them a response is optional, a distinction that keeps the heaviest weight of any future obligation on men and that critics say sits awkwardly in a country committed to equal treatment.

## A generation pushing back

The prospect of compulsory service has stirred real resistance among the young people who would bear it. In 2026 alone around 6,000 men applied to be recognised as conscientious objectors on moral or religious grounds, a total that has already surpassed the whole of the previous year. It is an early sign of how many would look for a way out if the draft returned.

The opposition has spilled onto the streets as well. Since December tens of thousands of young people, by one count some 50,000, have demonstrated across roughly 90 cities, and a movement calling itself the School Strike Against Conscription has taken shape to channel the anger. The backlash has already forced one retreat, with the government scrapping a proposed requirement for people aged 17 to 45 to seek approval before spending long periods abroad.

## Why Berlin feels the urgency

The drive to enlarge the Bundeswehr does not come from nowhere. Since Russia's full scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, German leaders have argued that the country can no longer treat its own defence as an afterthought, and Chancellor Friedrich Merz has gone so far as to pledge the building of the strongest conventional army in Europe. Meeting that promise demands manpower on a scale the current force cannot supply.

It also reflects a wider shift across the continent, where governments that spent the post Cold War years shrinking their militaries are now scrambling to rebuild them. Germany, long cautious about anything that echoes its past militarism, is being pulled by its allies and by events toward carrying more of the load, and troop numbers are the clearest measure of whether it can.

## The decision ahead

For now the government is trying to hold two positions at once, insisting that service should remain a choice while keeping the machinery of conscription within reach should the choice prove empty. The letters, the fitness checks and the registers all point to a system that could be switched from voluntary to mandatory with relative speed if ministers decide the numbers leave them no option.

Whether Germany actually brings back the draft will test more than its defence policy. It will measure how far a society shaped by deep unease about the military is willing to go in the name of security, and whether a generation that has grown up in peace can be asked to shoulder an obligation their parents were spared. The answer, one way or another, is now close at hand.

---

Originally published by Berlin Today. Free to cite with attribution and a link to https://berlintoday.eu/article/germany-weighs-a-return-to-the-draft-as-its-volunteer-push-falls-short.
